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Rank 14 of 20 by expected runs
Dataset name Tilak Varma · batted for MI in the 2026 data (2027 team unconfirmed) · Middle order / finisher (weighted batting position 4.6)
Expected 2027 runs
Model estimate315
80% interval 31–568
Expected innings
11.9
of ~14.7 team matches
Runs / innings
26.5
Average
32.0
runs ÷ expected dismissals
Strike rate
149.1
Hover or focus a bar for season details
Light bar = 2026, partial in the data (43 matches). Orange = 2027 estimate with its 80% interval. Seasons with no innings are not shown.
| Split | Runs | Balls | SR | Outs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs pace | 583 | 371 | 157.1 | 20 |
| vs spin | 364 | 266 | 136.8 | 8 |
| Powerplay (overs 1–6) | 107 | 100 | 107.0 | 3 |
| Middle (7–15) | 579 | 410 | 141.2 | 14 |
| Death (16–20) | 261 | 127 | 205.5 | 11 |
Balls exclude wides. Pace and spin come from the bowler-type field; the few deliveries with no bowler type are counted as pace.
Historical trend
2022: 397 (14 inn), 2023: 343 (11 inn), 2024: 416 (13 inn), 2025: 343 (13 inn), 2026: 188 (8 inn). Teams in data: MI.
Recent performance
2026 (partial, to data cutoff): 188 runs in 8 innings, SR 169; last 10 innings: 257 runs, SR 170.
Strengths (data-derived)
strike rate 206 vs death (top-order benchmark 190, 127 balls).
Risk factors
strike rate 107 vs powerplay (benchmark 153, 100 balls); middle/lower-order role (weighted batting position 4.6) caps balls per innings.
Full season (14 inn)
371
Strong form
525
90th pct form, 14 inn
Weak form
231
10th pct form, 14 inn
Reduced (8 inn)
212
Assumptions: plays IPL 2027 with availability in line with the player's own recent history; role similar to 2024–2026; 2027 team, squad and batting position not known from the data.